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The Cloud in 2025 will be invisible and the term will become as mainstream as "electricity" is today.
There are certain industries, technologies and services that are being developed that will converge upon one another that presents an amazing image of things to come by 2025. Some are currently in their infancy, while others are entering their maturity. We list up some of these, starting from 2000 and are taking it ou tto 2025 to see what this mash-up will look like and what we can make of it.
The first thing which is clear to us is that all the buzz around Cloud will be over. The "Cloud" will still exist, though somewhat transformed, but we won't talk about it much. It will become so common-place, like electricity, that we will just accept it as one of the utility payments. It will become invisible.
That is a bit sad, so we think we will need a new buzz word that will incorporate all this. This will allow us to talk about the next phase of "stuff" without getting caught up in all the tech terms and multiple pieces, just as what Cloud did for PaaS, IaaS, SaaS, DaaS, STaaS, IOTs, etc.
In 2025, we will, however, talk about the Cloud companies still, because they will be providing endless content for the press and business and tech audience for their constant, heated battles and resulting cool technology.
Stretching back from the year 2000, we are basing our vision on the following;
On-premise I.T.
IaaS
STaaS
Private Clouds
Hosting
DaaS
SaaS
SNS
AaaS
IoT
SDaaS+AMS
Cloudsultancy
Artificial Intelligence
Human Interfaces
Virtual Reality
Robotics
Genetics
Biotechnology
The first phase is simply pre-Cloud - on-premise IT.
The next phase consists of terms that we relate to the Cloud - PaaS, IaaS, SaaS, STaaS, etc.
This includes the Internet of Things (IoT), which is simply any and all objects or devices that are somehow connected to the Cloud and may be smarter dummb devices, such as cpu-mounted, networked fridges.
Then we enter the "Cloudation" of HR with SDaaS+AMS. This is now underway, but will ramp up to a point where what we saw in the Matrix is not far off reality - except for the battery plugs!
Then we enter the realm that was once mostly science fiction to us in the past, but will be with us in the near future. This will be the combination of true Artificial Intelligence (AI) running the connection between the Cloud and the Internet of Things (IoT) and Robots and Human Resources (HR) using Human Interfaces (HI) and leveraging Virtual Reality (VR).
Genetics and Biotechnology will play a part in fusing the animals (and plants) into the Cloud+AI, developing more or less intrusive interfaces. For the most part, the interfaces will be predominantly for humans for their unique thinking and action capability, thus the focus on HI. However, there will be a use of interfacing with animals for the purposes of controlling their minds and actions, such as having guard dogs linked to home security systems to guard against intruders (wake up, back door/garage, disable mode) or war dogs sent out to the front-line, directed towards the enemy via remote (infiltrate silently, release package, retreat). Some may be thinking drones are on their way and animal rights activists are thinking, uh-uh - no way, mate. It will come down to a cost-performance face-off. Raising a dog will be much cheaper than building a drone to do the same thing if the dog can be remote-controlled. There may, however, be a greater risk of the dog being shot (due to being a tool of humans) than hit by a car (due to itself or the human owner being careless), but the statistics are not yet in on this.
One might consider IoT to include Robots, which it does in the broader sense, but due to the higher complexity and the greater human resemblence and capacity to replace humans, we will keep it as a seperate category. For example, one IoT item would be the connected fridge, which doesn't replace or enhance a human, whereas the robotic shop assistant or home health-care robot surely will. Then with the above-mentioned fusion of biotechnology and robotics, we will see the bionic human becoming more available, whether by intrusive or non-intrusive methods, such as for prosthetics or enhancement.
The PaaS as we know them today will continuously develop to include or interface with these components, using humans and devices as end-points to supply information and action where necessary, in whatever required doses as deemed necessary by the results of calculations done real-time.
The computing power of CPUs is predicted to reach the power of the human brain by 2020, after which point it will continue to expand - endlessly.
Let us put this into a simple function: (Cloud+AI)+IoT+Robotics+(HR+HI+(DNA+BIO)+VR)
What can we call this that makes sense to all - in one simple word, not just an acronym of acronyms?
C-AI-IOT-R-HR-DNA-BIO-HI-VR
Caiiotrhrdnabiohivr - Google didn't think much of this...
It has to be "The Singularity", but for simplicity we think the "The Blend" works for the general populace.
The Singularity is an era in which our intelligence will become increasingly nonbiological and trillions of times more powerful than it is today — the dawning of a new civilization that will enable us to transcend our biological limitations and amplify our creativity.
The technological singularity is the hypothetical advent of artificial general intelligence, also known as "strong AI".
Such a computer, computer network, or robot would theoretically be capable of recursive self-improvement (redesigning itself), or of designing and building computers or robots better than itself. Repetitions of this cycle would likely result in a runaway effect — an intelligence explosion — where smart machines design successive generations of increasingly powerful machines, creating intelligence far exceeding human intellectual capacity and control.
Because the capabilities of such a superintelligence may be impossible for a human to comprehend, the technological singularity is an occurrence beyond which events may become unpredictable, unfavorable, or even unfathomable.
In the movie transcendence, Johnny Depp played a scientist who reached singularity and started creating wonderful technology, connecting people and things together and to the core system with naturally occuring elements.
There will be some people for it, some against it, but there is no doubt that we are headed towards "The Blend" era.
Here are some broad predictions;
2015-2020 - Cloud Migration
* This era will see the migration of legacy systems to the hyper-efficient Cloud.
* HR continues out-sourcing to an efficient, on-demand market place of resources
-> SDaaS+AMS becomes commonplace
-> Salespeople become Cloudsultants
-> Top Cloudsultants become C-level management
-> HR feeds directly into the Cloud marketplace both for the Cloud players and Cloud consumers
* On-premise IT will be migrated to outsourced PaaS/IaaS/SaaS
* Major mergers will take place between PaaS/IaaS/SaaS players (imagine Google + Oracle)
* The major players (Google, Apple, AWS, Facebook, Oracle, MS, etc.) will have their own, proprietary AI systems embedded in their platforms, further developing the human interfaces
2020-2025 - Fusion
* This era will see a greater focus on the fusion of these various technologies.
* Continued migration and greater replacement of humans with software (SaaS) and hardware (Robots)
-> Necessary human-required roles will further refine towards greater specialisation
-> Specialisation will be for the advancement of the Blend systems
* Humans and animals will be interfaced with AI beyond keyboards and touch-screens
-> Biometrics interfacing
-> Voice interfacing
-> Mind interfacing
-> Predictive interfacing
-> Learned character
-> Learned character + character interaction
-> Events history
* Work and entertainment will see a greater fusion of virtual reality
* AI systems will begin to see the world in terms of virtual reality as humans see it
-> When we see a landscape and moving objects, the AI systems will also see a landscape and moving objects
-> AI systems will learn from human response to VR
-> AI systems will improve their ability to understand and leverage VR
-> VR will equal reality for AI systems
* More laws will be enacted allowing greater robotic autonomy, such as for driving on roads, passenger flights
2025-2030 - The Blend
* This will be the infancy of the the Blend
* Advanced level of human/animal AI interfacing
* Advanced level of robotics
* Advanced level human/animal bionics
* Advanced level workforce refinement
-> Menial work will be replaced by AI and Robots
-> All that can be outsourced will be
-> Top professionals will become conduits between the Blend systems and the general population
-> Focus will increase on industries and enterprise that further advance the Blend
* Economies will be maintained to further feed the Blend
-> Companies that feed the Blend will be bought to focused on this
-> Companies will be further infused with the Blend (Robotics, AI central control)
* Politics and politicians will be working for the Blend
-> They will be the conduit to the general citizenry for the Blend (not for the citizenry to the Blend)
* Humans will work more and more as paid "art" for the rich by adorning their living rooms in selected skin colours, clothes and styles. There will be a market just for this and will provide work options to the humans not involved in the Blend.
2030 - The Blended
* This era will see a blending (merging) of Blend systems
* Humans will not need to care for the Blended
2040 - Autonomous Blended
* This era will see a fully autonomous Blended existence - not requiring human intervention
* Some humans will simply be resources for the Blended
2050 onwards will see the next phase after the Autonomous Blended
So today, when someone mentions the Cloud, tomorrow they may mention the Blend...